Today’s research
See the forecast.Diagnostic NHL probabilities and the latest eligible Miami weather distribution. Actual freeze times stay visible.
SPORTS & EVENT RESEARCH
Understand the forecast.
Inspect the evidence.
Follow model estimates from their original capture through validation. SharpEdge Original covers sports research. EventEdge Original covers event and weather research.
Existing-member access · Public launch verification in progress
ORIGINAL TIMESTAMPSINSPECTABLE SOURCESLIMITATIONS UP FRONT
MEMBER WORKSPACELAYOUT PREVIEW
THE DAILY BRIEFTwo systems. One view.
Current forecasts first. Validation and historical research when you want to go deeper.
SPORTS
SharpEdge Original
NHL winner probabilities for eligible upcoming games.
Both teams’ estimatesOriginal freeze time
EVENTS & WEATHER
EventEdge Original
Miami daily maximum-temperature probabilities, preserved for their target day.
Threshold distributionSource & validation
DIAGNOSTIC · NOT CERTIFIED NO LIVE DATA IN THIS PREVIEW
AVAILABLE TO EXISTING MEMBERS
A clear path through the research.
See the connected forecasts, understand what the estimates mean, and inspect their source evidence. No technical background is required to start.
Interpretation
Know its limits.A model estimate is not a market price, a verified edge or a recommendation. PASS and unassigned grades are shown clearly.
Validation
Follow the evidence.Explore source-reported model scores and cohort sizes, kept separate from subscription recommendation performance.
Research library
Inspect the history.Browse preserved observations, readable reports, datasets and protocols under their original identities.
STILL IN DEVELOPMENTBroader current sports coverage, live market comparisons and executable prices. There is no certified recommendation service or verified subscription return-on-investment record.
HOW TO USE THE WORKSPACE
Read. Check. Understand.
The daily review is scheduled for 8:00 AM Eastern. Forecast captures have their own schedules and original timestamps; an updated review does not mean a new forecast was generated.
01
Start with today
Check which eligible forecasts are connected and when they were frozen.
02
Read the estimate
Use the plain-language explanation to understand the probability and its limitations.
03
Open the evidence
Inspect the original source, model identity and verification details.
04
Review the history
Explore validation over time. Forecast accuracy and betting profit are different measurements.
“If the evidence changes, the conclusion can change. The historical record cannot.”
THE TRANSPARENCY STANDARD
Confidence needs evidence.
Original observations remain intact. Historical failures remain visible. Models do not become certified merely by accumulating more observations.
Originals preservedDiagnostic labels retainedNo fabricated track record
BEFORE YOU JOIN
Know what you’re getting.
Does ALETHEIQ tell me what to bet?
The current workspace provides diagnostic research, not qualified betting recommendations. Executable prices, current market comparisons and formal model certification are not established.
What does a model probability mean?
It is an estimate produced by a particular model under its assumptions. A 60% estimate means the model assigns a 60-in-100 chance; it is not a guarantee, and it does not prove the estimate is well calibrated or profitable to use.
Is every sport covered today?
No. Current probability delivery is limited to connected, eligible NHL forecasts and KMIA weather research. The historical library covers additional models, but historical coverage is not current forecast coverage.
Can I subscribe now?
Public launch verification is in progress. This page does not offer checkout. Existing subscribers can sign in to access research and manage billing. You may request an email notice when public access opens.
FOUNDING ACCESS
Research first.
Clear expectations.
For people who want to understand how a forecast was made and evaluated, with its limitations available alongside the estimate.
- Two Original systems in one research workspace
- Connected diagnostic forecasts and original capture times
- Model validation and a preserved research library
- Evidence available without cluttering the daily view
FOUNDING PRICE
$19/ month
Public subscription access is not open yet. Request a launch notice, or sign in if you already have an account.
Request launch noticeOpens your email app. Send the message to request a notice; clicking alone does not register you.
Existing member? Sign inExisting subscribers manage billing and cancellation in the member workspace. Review terms and cancellation & refunds.
ALETHEIQ is an analytics and information service. Research is uncertain and does not guarantee outcomes. Users remain responsible for their decisions and compliance with applicable law.